SimpleFunctions

Will Tom Kim finish top 10 for The Open Championship

Tom Kim is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside The Open Championship.

Price history

19¢ current

+17¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tom Kim

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 50¢

Range

1¢-50¢

Family volume

$27K

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-TKIM

Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 13, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

14¢

Ask

19¢

Spread

24h volume

$2K

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · The Open Championship

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Family volume

$27K

Orderbook snapshot

14 / 19¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
14¢226
13¢7
12¢18
11¢6.1K
7¢323
AskSize
19¢2.0K
20¢3.0K
21¢5.1K
22¢2.0K
23¢557

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 2, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP10-THOC26-TKIM

SF Signal
SF Index
4956.07
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11563.4%

IY (No)

306.4%

Adj IY

4956%

CRI

6

RV

5212%

VR

1.62

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11563.4%
306.4%
Adj IY
4956%
6
RV
5212%
VR
1.62
IAR
0.6/h
Overround
8.1%
LAS
0.57

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.