Tie · Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti
Tie is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti.
Price history
37¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Tigres 47¢
Range
25¢-47¢
Family volume
$114
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL16TIJTIG-TIE
Jul 11, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$13
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$114
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL16TIJTIG-TIE
Event family
Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$114
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Tigres 47¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 37% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.