Tijuana de Caliente · Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti
Tijuana de Caliente is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti.
Price history
29¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Tijuana de Caliente wins the Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tijuana de Caliente
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Tigres 47¢
Range
25¢-47¢
Family volume
$206
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL16TIJTIG-TIJ
Jul 10, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
26¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$48
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$206
Orderbook snapshot
26 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tijuana de Caliente wins the Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL16TIJTIG-TIJ
Event family
Tijuana de Caliente vs Tigres Winner?: Ti.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$206
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Tigres 47¢
Current share
23%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.