Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 2: Tommy Fleetwood · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26
Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 2: Tommy Fleetwood is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 4¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26.
Price history
4¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Tommy Fleetwood is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 TOUR Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 2: Tommy Fleetwood
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Scottie Scheffler leads at the end of Round 2: Scottie Scheffler 12¢
Range
1¢-12¢
Family volume
$23K
Identifier
KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-TFLE
Aug 26, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
4¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$67
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Family volume
$23K
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 4¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tommy Fleetwood is the leader at the end of Round 2 in the 2026 TOUR Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 13, 2026
Identifier
KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-TFLE
Event family
KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$23K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Scottie Scheffler leads at the end of Round 2: Scottie Scheffler 12¢
Current share
0%
Scottie Scheffler leads at the end of Round 2: Scottie Scheffler
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-SSCH
Rory McIlroy leads at the end of Round 2: Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-RMCI
Xander Schauffele leads at the end of Round 2: Xander Schauffele
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-XSCH
Collin Morikawa leads at the end of Round 2: Collin Morikawa
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-CMOR
Tommy Fleetwood leads at the end of Round 2: Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-TFLE
Robert MacIntyre leads at the end of Round 2: Robert MacIntyre
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-RMAC
Chris Gotterup leads at the end of Round 2: Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-CGOT
Hideki Matsuyama leads at the end of Round 2: Hideki Matsuyama
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-HMAT
Justin Rose leads at the end of Round 2: Justin Rose
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-JROS
Ryan Gerard leads at the end of Round 2: Ryan Gerard
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-RGER
Matt Fitzpatrick leads at the end of Round 2: Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-MFIT
Sam Burns leads at the end of Round 2: Sam Burns
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-SBUR
Ludvig Aberg leads at the end of Round 2: Ludvig Aberg
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-LABE
Wyndham Clark leads at the end of Round 2: Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-WCLA
Patrick Cantlay leads at the end of Round 2: Patrick Cantlay
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-PCAN
Alex Smalley leads at the end of Round 2: Alex Smalley
kalshi · KXPGAR2LEAD-TOC26-ASMA
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.