Top USA Song on Spotify on Jun 25, 2026
Choosin' Texas is priced at 44¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 42¢ bid, 52¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 4 inside Top USA Song on Spotify on Jun 25, 2026.
Price history
44¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Daily Top Songs USA chart on the chart dated Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Choosin' Texas
Rank
#2 of 4
Leader
stupid song 48¢
Range
4¢-48¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXSPOTIFYD-26JUN25-CHO
Jun 25, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
42¢
Ask
52¢
Spread
10¢
24h volume
$917
Family rank
#2 of 4
4 outcomes · Top USA Song on Spotify on Jun 25, 2026
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
42 / 52¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Choosin' Texas is #1 on the Daily Top Songs USA chart on the chart dated Jun 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 26, 2026
Identifier
KXSPOTIFYD-26JUN25-CHO
Event family
Top USA Song on Spotify on Jun 25, 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
stupid song 48¢
Current share
41%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.