Joseph Hicks to win Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks
Joseph Hicks is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks Winner.
Price history
23¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Joseph Hicks wins the Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Joseph Hicks
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Troy Isley 77¢
Range
21¢-77¢
Family volume
$108
Identifier
KXBOXING-26AUG15ISLEYHICKS-HICKS
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$8
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks Winner
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Family volume
$108
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Joseph Hicks wins the Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks boxing match originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 29, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26AUG15ISLEYHICKS-HICKS
Event family
Troy Isley vs Joseph Hicks Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$108
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Troy Isley 77¢
Current share
8%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.