SimpleFunctions
PolymarketJun 30, 202652 days left

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

14¢
$79K volume
$10K liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

1

Family volume

$79K

Best sibling

Ticker

0xe3438089…a7fb

Market snapshot

June 30 in market context.

This page tracks the Polymarket contract for US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $47. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

June 30

Family rank

Venue

Polymarket

Current quote

14¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jun 30, 2026

24h volume

$47

Family context

Standalone contract

Quote range

Family leader

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: 0xe34380896d3df2ac2fcd753a01b3a8887acc335778c11e93af952fd273fca7fb. Family volume: $79K.

Price history

14¢ current

20¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 14¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
13¢1.5K
12¢827
11¢1.1K
8¢251
7¢7
6¢1.4K
5¢952
4¢907
AskSize
14¢16
16¢129
17¢381
18¢240
23¢300
24¢1.9K
25¢2.7K
26¢27

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 30, 2026

Identifier

0xe3438089…a7fb

Event family

US x Cuba economic deal by.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$79K

Outcomes

1

Highest price

June 30 14¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

4337.5%
114.9%
Adj IY
2014%
6
LAS
0.07

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