VfL Wolfsburg to score first vs. SV Darmstadt 98
VfL Wolfsburg to score first vs. SV Darmstadt 98 is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
In the upcoming match between VfL Wolfsburg and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "VfL Wolfsburg" if VfL Wolfsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Darmstadt 98" if SV Darmstadt 98 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Outcome
VfL Wolfsburg to score first vs. SV Darmstadt 98
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0xf3de5113...d7e2
Sep 5, 2026, 5:15 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
96¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Sep 18, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming match between VfL Wolfsburg and SV Darmstadt 98, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "VfL Wolfsburg" if VfL Wolfsburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SV Darmstadt 98" if SV Darmstadt 98 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 18, 2026
Identifier
0xf3de5113…d7e2
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
VfL Wolfsburg to score first vs. SV Darmstadt 98 50¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.