SimpleFunctions

Before Jan 20, 2029 · Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before J

Before Jan 20, 2029 is priced at 52¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 52¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before J.

Price history

52¢ current

+19¢
50¢75¢
May 7, 2026Jun 4, 2026

Contract brief

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Jan 20, 2029

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Before Jan 20, 2029 52¢

Range

3¢-52¢

Family volume

$325

Identifier

KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-VPUT

Jun 4, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

52¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 4, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

52¢

Ask

54¢

Spread

24h volume

$75

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before J

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Family volume

$325

Orderbook snapshot

52 / 54¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
52¢234
50¢560
49¢500
48¢513
47¢4
AskSize
54¢500
55¢1
80¢635
81¢96
82¢209

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2029

Identifier

KXZELENSKYPUTIN-29-VPUT

SF Signal
SF Index
20.58
Regime
neutral

Event family

Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before J.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$325

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Before Jan 20, 2029 52¢

Current share

23%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

35.1%

IY (No)

41.2%

Adj IY

21%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

political

Full indicator table

35.1%
41.2%
Adj IY
21%
1
Overround
-0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.