Western Bulldogs to win Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns
Western Bulldogs is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns winner.
Price history
50¢ current
+42¢Contract brief
If Western Bulldogs wins the Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Western Bulldogs
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Gold Coast Suns 51¢
Range
45¢-51¢
Family volume
$33
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL190115BULGCS-BUL
Jul 14, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
46¢
Ask
48¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$33
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns winner
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Family volume
$33
Orderbook snapshot
46 / 48¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Western Bulldogs wins the Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns professional AFL game originally scheduled for Jul 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 2, 2026
Identifier
KXAFLGAME-26JUL190115BULGCS-BUL
Event family
Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast Suns winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$33
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Gold Coast Suns 51¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.