What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
This contract is priced at 33¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$43
Best sibling
New Hampshire 38¢
Ticker
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
Price history
33¢ current
+4¢Orderbook snapshot
28 / 31¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If South Carolina is the first Democratic primary or caucus during the 2028 presidential cycle, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 7, 2028
Identifier
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
Event family
What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$43
Outcomes
3
Highest price
New Hampshire 38¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 33% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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