What state will be first in the Democratic presidential primary?
This prediction market has closed and is preserved as a settled-market record. Final outcome: YES, with settlement-time price 95.3¢.
Settlement
95.3¢
t-24h price
5.0¢
Calibration error
95.0 bps
Volume
$18K
Resolved at
Aug 15, 2026
Identifier
KXFIRSTPRIMARYD-28-SC
Archive note
Historical resolution is tracked for calibration, settled-market search, and event-family context. The live trading book is no longer active; adjacent active markets are listed below when the category still has liquidity.
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