SimpleFunctions

1: Kansas City / 2: Denver / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Los Angeles C · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

1: Kansas City / 2: Denver / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Los Angeles C is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 15 inside What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

Price history

8¢ current

+4¢
0¢5¢10¢
Sep 4, 2026Sep 6, 2026

Contract brief

If Kansas City finishes first, Denver finishes second, Las Vegas finishes third, and Los Angeles C finishes fourth in the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

1: Kansas City / 2: Denver / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Los Angeles C

Rank

#14 of 15

Leader

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Kansas City / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Denver 20¢

Range

5¢-20¢

Family volume

$41

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCDENLVLAC

Sep 12, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

8¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 12, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$59

Family rank

#14 of 15

15 outcomes · What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$41

Orderbook snapshot

5 / 8¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
5¢200
AskSize
8¢2.0K
23¢90
60¢1.8K
61¢59
70¢1.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kansas City finishes first, Denver finishes second, Las Vegas finishes third, and Los Angeles C finishes fourth in the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCDENLVLAC

SF Signal
SF Index
2445.24
Regime
neutral

Event family

What will be the exact order of standings for the AFC West at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?: 1.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$41

Outcomes

15

Highest price

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Kansas City / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Denver 20¢

Current share

0%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Kansas City / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Denver

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LACKCLVDEN

20¢
$0$0

1: Las Vegas / 2: Denver / 3: Kansas City / 4: Los Angeles C

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LVDENKCLAC

15¢
$0$0

1: Denver / 2: Los Angeles C / 3: Kansas City / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENLACKCLV

11¢
$0$0

1: Denver / 2: Los Angeles C / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Kansas City

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENLACLVKC

11¢
$0$00.7

1: Kansas City / 2: Denver / 3: Los Angeles C / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCDENLACLV

10¢
$1$1

1: Denver / 2: Kansas City / 3: Los Angeles C / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENKCLACLV

9¢
$6$6

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Denver / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Kansas City

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LACDENLVKC

8¢
$35$35

1: Las Vegas / 2: Kansas City / 3: Los Angeles C / 4: Denver

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LVKCLACDEN

7¢
$0$0

1: Denver / 2: Las Vegas / 3: Kansas City / 4: Los Angeles C

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENLVKCLAC

6¢
$0$0

1: Kansas City / 2: Los Angeles C / 3: Denver / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCLACDENLV

6¢
$0$0

1: Kansas City / 2: Las Vegas / 3: Los Angeles C / 4: Denver

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCLVLACDEN

6¢
$0$0

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Denver / 3: Kansas City / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LACDENKCLV

6¢
$0$0

1: Los Angeles C / 2: Kansas City / 3: Denver / 4: Las Vegas

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-LACKCDENLV

6¢
$0$0

1: Kansas City / 2: Denver / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Los Angeles C

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-KCDENLVLAC

5¢
$0$0

1: Denver / 2: Kansas City / 3: Las Vegas / 4: Los Angeles C

kalshi · KXNFLDIVISIONORDER-27AFCWEST-DENKCLVLAC

5¢
$0$0

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4890.5%

IY (No)

13.5%

Adj IY

2445%

CRI

19

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4890.5%
13.5%
Adj IY
2445%
19
Overround
0.3%

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Blogmacro

US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle

Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Technicalrisk

Reading Prediction Market Orderbooks: Liquidity, Spread, and When to Enter

How to read prediction market orderbooks on Kalshi. Covers bid-ask spread analysis, liquidity scoring, executable edge calculation, and when thin markets are opportunities vs traps.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.