What will Talen Energy Corporation say during their next earnings call
Fossil is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 53¢ ask, 30¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 12 inside What will Talen Energy Corporation say during their next earnings call.
Price history
51¢ current
+48¢Contract brief
If Fossil is said by any Talen Energy Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Talen Energy Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Fossil
Rank
#5 of 12
Leader
Amazon 70¢
Range
6¢-70¢
Family volume
$11K
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-FOSS
Jul 23, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
53¢
Spread
30¢
24h volume
$100
Family rank
#5 of 12
12 outcomes · What will Talen Energy Corporation say during their next earnings call
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$11K
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 53¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Fossil is said by any Talen Energy Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Talen Energy Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-FOSS
Event family
What will Talen Energy Corporation say during their next earnings call.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$11K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Amazon 70¢
Current share
1%
Amazon
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-AMAZ
Behind the Meter
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-BEHI
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-AFFO
Tailwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-TAIL
Fossil
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-FOSS
Bitcoin
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-BITC
Solar
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-SOLA
Tariff
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-TARI
Headwind
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-HEAD
Shapiro
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-SHAP
SMR
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-SMR
Anthropic / Claude
kalshi · KXEARNINGSMENTIONTLN-26AUG05-ANTH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.