SimpleFunctions

What will The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call

Regulation is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 66¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #9 of 13 inside What will The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call.

Price history

63¢ current

+62¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
Jul 1, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Regulation is said by any The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Regulation

Rank

#9 of 13

Leader

Uncertainty 88¢

Range

20¢-88¢

Family volume

$505

Identifier

KXEARNINGSMENTIONGS-26JUL14-REGU

Jul 14, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Implied probability

63¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 28m ago

Bid

51¢

Ask

66¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$21

Family rank

#9 of 13

13 outcomes · What will The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$505

Orderbook snapshot

51 / 66¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
51¢5
50¢1
20¢23
19¢104
18¢122
AskSize
66¢5
67¢10
71¢6
74¢6
75¢6

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Regulation is said by any The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXEARNINGSMENTIONGS-26JUL14-REGU

SF Signal
SF Index
222.66
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

205.5%

IY (No)

222.7%

Adj IY

223%

CRI

1

RV

2808%

VR

10.45

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

205.5%
222.7%
Adj IY
223%
1
RV
2808%
VR
10.45
IAR
1.3/h
Overround
5.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.