When will Beast Industries IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 22% probability that When will Beast Industries IPO?. This contract trades at 22¢ on Kalshi, closing December 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $22 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 3039.5% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $22 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 3039.5% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 9¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the 22¢ price, and the cliff risk index of 19 suggests significant uncertainty around resolution mechanics or event timing. With 228 days to expiry and a modest 22% probability priced in, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal market depth rather than an efficiently-priced contract.
Resolution rules
If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPOBEASTINDUSTRIES-26DEC01 yes 100