SimpleFunctions

Before Mar 1, 2027 · When will Beast Industries IPO?: Before

Before Mar 1, 2027 is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside When will Beast Industries IPO?: Before.

Price history

22¢ current

+18¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Before Mar 1, 2027

Rank

#4 of 12

Leader

Before Jun 1, 2027 25¢

Range

1¢-25¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXIPOBEASTINDUSTRIES-27MAR01

Jun 17, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

22¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 17, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

18¢

Spread

Reported volume

$1K

Family rank

#4 of 12

12 outcomes · When will Beast Industries IPO?: Before

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 18¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
10¢5
9¢500
5¢102
4¢54
3¢500
AskSize
18¢500
85¢1.9K
86¢53
89¢151
99¢550

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Beast Industries confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Mar 1, 2027

Identifier

KXIPOBEASTINDUSTRIES-27MAR01

SF Signal
SF Index
127.86
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1278.6%

IY (No)

15.8%

Adj IY

128%

CRI

9

Overround

-0.0%

LAS

0.80

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

financial

Full indicator table

1278.6%
15.8%
Adj IY
128%
9
Overround
-0.0%
LAS
0.80

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.