Before September · When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before
Before September is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 41¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before.
Price history
40¢ current
+16¢Contract brief
If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before September
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Before 2027 61¢
Range
3¢-61¢
Family volume
$1
Identifier
KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26SEP01
Jun 26, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 13m ago
Implied probability
Bid
41¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$27K
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Family volume
$1
Orderbook snapshot
41 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the FDA announces Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26SEP01
Event family
When will FDA announce Reclassification of BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Before 2027 61¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.