Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next
Al-Hilal is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 10 inside Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next.
Price history
4¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the next club that Cristiano Ronaldo joins is Al-Hilal before Sep 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Al-Hilal
Rank
#6 of 10
Leader
Galatasaray 10¢
Range
2¢-10¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXJOINRONALDO-27-HIL
Sep 17, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
8¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#6 of 10
10 outcomes · Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next
Closes
Sep 9, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 12¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the next club that Cristiano Ronaldo joins is Al-Hilal before Sep 2, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 9, 2027
Identifier
KXJOINRONALDO-27-HIL
Event family
Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Galatasaray 10¢
Current share
—
Galatasaray
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-GS
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-MCI
Sporting CP
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-SCP
Los Angeles Galaxy
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-LA
Wydad Casablanca
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-WAC
Al-Hilal
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-HIL
Inter Miami CF
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-MIA
CF Monterrey
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-MTY
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-RMA
Paris-Saint Germain
kalshi · KXJOINRONALDO-27-PSG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Observability
high
Event type
sports
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.