Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next
AC Milan is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 10 inside Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next.
Price history
4¢ current
Contract brief
If Jean-Philippe Mateta's next club is AC Milan before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
AC Milan
Rank
#3 of 10
Leader
Juventus 46¢
Range
1¢-46¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ACM
Jun 23, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$519
Family rank
#3 of 10
10 outcomes · Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jean-Philippe Mateta's next club is AC Milan before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ACM
Event family
Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Juventus 46¢
Current share
—
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-JUV
Crystal Palace
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-CRY
AC Milan
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ACM
Aston Villa
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-AVL
Manchester United
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-MUN
Chelsea
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-CFC
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-MCI
Arsenal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ARS
Dortmund
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-BVB
Newcastle
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-NEW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.