Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next
Newcastle is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 10 inside Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next.
Price history
1¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Jean-Philippe Mateta's next club is Newcastle before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Newcastle
Rank
#4 of 10
Leader
Crystal Palace 66¢
Range
2¢-66¢
Family volume
$144
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-NEW
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
5¢
Spread
3¢
Reported volume
$47
Family rank
#4 of 10
10 outcomes · Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$144
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 5¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jean-Philippe Mateta's next club is Newcastle before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-NEW
Event family
Where will Jean-Philippe Mateta go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$144
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Crystal Palace 66¢
Current share
0%
Crystal Palace
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-CRY
Manchester United
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-MUN
Juventus
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-JUV
Newcastle
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-NEW
Arsenal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ARS
Chelsea
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-CFC
AC Milan
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-ACM
Dortmund
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-BVB
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-MCI
Aston Villa
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JMATETA-AVL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.