Where will Joao Neves go next
PSG is priced at 96¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 97¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 11 inside Where will Joao Neves go next.
Price history
96¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If Joao Neves's next club is PSG before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
PSG
Rank
#1 of 11
Leader
PSG 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$105
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-PSG
Aug 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 45m ago
Implied probability
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$105
Family rank
#1 of 11
11 outcomes · Where will Joao Neves go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$105
Orderbook snapshot
97 / 99¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Joao Neves's next club is PSG before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-PSG
Event family
Where will Joao Neves go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$105
Outcomes
11
Highest price
PSG 97¢
Current share
100%
PSG
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-PSG
Arsenal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-ARS
Atletico
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-ATM
Barcelona
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-BAR
Bayern Munich
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-BMU
Chelsea
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-CFC
Liverpool
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-LFC
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-MCI
Manchester United
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-MUN
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-RMA
Tottenham
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02JNEVES-TOT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 96% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.