SimpleFunctions

Any MLS Club · Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any

Any MLS Club is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 8 inside Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any.

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Price history

24¢ current

+13¢
10¢20¢
May 27, 2026Jun 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Mohamed Salah's next club is any MLS club before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Any MLS Club

Rank

#2 of 8

Leader

Any Saudi Pro League Club 50¢

Range

1¢-50¢

Family volume

$119

Identifier

KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-MLS

Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

18¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

8¢

24h volume

$119

Family rank

#2 of 8

8 outcomes · Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$119

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 26¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
18¢5
17¢200
3¢51
2¢320
AskSize
26¢5
27¢200
81¢500
82¢11
90¢48

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mohamed Salah's next club is any MLS club before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-MLS

SF Signal
SF Index
439.69
Regime
neutral

Event family

Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$119

Outcomes

8

Highest price

Any Saudi Pro League Club 50¢

Current share

100%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Any Saudi Pro League Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-SAUDI

50¢
$0$00.2

Any MLS Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-MLS

18¢
$119$1190.4

Any Turkish Super Lig Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-SLIG

6¢
$0$01.5

Any Serie A Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-SERIEA

3¢
$0$0—

Any English Premier League Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-EPL

3¢
$0$01.7

Any Ligue 1 Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-LIGUE1

2¢
$0$0—

Any La Liga Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-LALIGA

2¢
$0$0—

Any Bundesliga Club

kalshi · KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-BUND

1¢
$0$0—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1582.8%

IY (No)

76.3%

Adj IY

440%

CRI

5

Overround

-0.2%

LAS

0.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

IY (Yes)
1582.8%
IY (No)
76.3%
Adj IY
440%
CRI
5
Overround
-0.2%
LAS
0.44

Odds pages

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Where will Mohamed Salah go next

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.