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Any Serie A Club · Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any

Any Serie A Club is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 8 inside Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any.

Price history

9¢ current

+3¢
0¢10¢
May 28, 2026Jun 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Mohamed Salah's next club is any Serie A club before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Any Serie A Club

Rank

#4 of 8

Leader

Any Saudi Pro League Club 50¢

Range

1¢-50¢

Family volume

$119

Identifier

KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-SERIEA

Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 26, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 4m ago

Bid

Ask

10¢

Spread

Reported volume

$906

Family rank

#4 of 8

8 outcomes · Where will Mohamed Salah go next?: Any

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$119

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 10¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
3¢5
2¢200
AskSize
10¢5
11¢200
54¢35
55¢311
65¢35

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mohamed Salah's next club is any Serie A club before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINLEAGUE-26OCT02MSALAH-SERIEA

SF Signal
SF Index
5616.85
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

11233.7%

IY (No)

10.7%

Adj IY

5617%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

11233.7%
10.7%
Adj IY
5617%
32
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.