Where will Sandro Tonali go next
Newcastle is priced at 12¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 7 inside Where will Sandro Tonali go next.
Price history
12¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Sandro Tonali's next club is Newcastle before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Newcastle
Rank
#2 of 7
Leader
Tottenham 50¢
Range
3¢-50¢
Family volume
$97
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-NEW
Jun 24, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
17¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 7
7 outcomes · Where will Sandro Tonali go next
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Family volume
$97
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 17¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sandro Tonali's next club is Newcastle before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 9, 2026
Identifier
KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-NEW
Event family
Where will Sandro Tonali go next.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$97
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Tottenham 50¢
Current share
0%
Tottenham
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-TOT
Newcastle
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-NEW
Real Madrid
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-RMA
Chelsea
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-CFC
Manchester City
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-MCI
Arsenal
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-ARS
Manchester United
kalshi · KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-MUN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.