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Where will Sandro Tonali go next

Tottenham is priced at 60¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 65¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Where will Sandro Tonali go next.

Price history

60¢ current

35¢
50¢75¢100¢
Jun 16, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Sandro Tonali's next club is Tottenham before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tottenham

Rank

#1 of 7

Leader

Tottenham 53¢

Range

2¢-53¢

Family volume

$332

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-TOT

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Implied probability

60¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 2m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

65¢

Spread

12¢

24h volume

$226

Family rank

#1 of 7

7 outcomes · Where will Sandro Tonali go next

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Family volume

$332

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 65¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
53¢200
32¢31
19¢382
AskSize
65¢200
92¢317
93¢50
94¢33
95¢67

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Sandro Tonali's next club is Tottenham before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 9, 2026

Identifier

KXJOINCLUB-26OCT02STONALI-TOT

SF Signal
SF Index
194.24
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

305.5%

IY (No)

388.5%

Adj IY

194%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

305.5%
388.5%
Adj IY
194%
1
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.