Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur
Rhode Island is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 5 inside Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur.
Price history
20¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Rhode Island before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rhode Island
Rank
#2 of 5
Leader
New York 81¢
Range
1¢-81¢
Family volume
$76K
Identifier
KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-RHO
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
18¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$28K
Family rank
#2 of 5
5 outcomes · Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$76K
Orderbook snapshot
18 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding happens in Rhode Island before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-RHO
Event family
Where will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce’s Wedding occur.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$76K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
New York 81¢
Current share
37%
New York
kalshi · KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-NEW
Rhode Island
kalshi · KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-RHO
Pennsylvania
kalshi · KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-PEN
Tennessee
kalshi · KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-TEN
Ohio
kalshi · KXSWIFTKELCEWEDDINGLOCATION-30-OHI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.