SimpleFunctions

2027-28 season · Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?: 20

2027-28 season is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?: 20.

Price history

24¢ current

+4¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 20, 2026Sep 10, 2026

Contract brief

If the New York J Pro Football team's next playoff appearance is in the 2027-28 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

2027-28 season

Rank

#1 of 5

Leader

2027-28 season 20¢

Range

1¢-20¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNFLENDSTREAK-40NYJ-2728

Sep 17, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Sep 17, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

Reported volume

$962

Family rank

#1 of 5

5 outcomes · Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?: 20

Closes

Feb 27, 2040

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 27¢

Kalshi
7¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50
20¢3
18¢100
10¢64
AskSize
27¢100
56¢26
70¢200
85¢200
96¢46

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the New York J Pro Football team's next playoff appearance is in the 2027-28 Pro Football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 27, 2040

Identifier

KXNFLENDSTREAK-40NYJ-2728

SF Signal
SF Index
14.86
Regime
neutral

Event family

Which season will the New York J next make the playoffs?: 20.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

2027-28 season 20¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

29.7%

IY (No)

1.9%

Adj IY

15%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.4%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

29.7%
1.9%
Adj IY
15%
4
Overround
-0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.