SimpleFunctions

2026-27 Season Top QB for Who will be Fantasy Football

Jayden Daniels is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB.

Price history

19¢ current

+16¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jun 15, 2026Jun 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Jayden Daniels is the #1 scoring QB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Quarterback Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jayden Daniels

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Jaxson Dart 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXRANKLISTFFQB-27-JDANIELS5

Jul 10, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 10, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 13m ago

Bid

Ask

17¢

Spread

14¢

Reported volume

$418

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 17¢

Kalshi
14¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.0K
3¢10
2¢700
AskSize
17¢149
37¢3
38¢500
39¢678
96¢5.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jayden Daniels is the #1 scoring QB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Quarterback Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRANKLISTFFQB-27-JDANIELS5

SF Signal
SF Index
2868.63
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

5737.3%

IY (No)

5.5%

Adj IY

2869%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

5737.3%
5.5%
Adj IY
2869%
32
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.