SimpleFunctions

2026-27 Season Top QB for Who will be Fantasy Football

Jaxson Dart is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 13¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB.

Price history

24¢ current

+23¢
0¢10¢20¢
Jul 5, 2026Jul 6, 2026

Contract brief

If Jaxson Dart is the #1 scoring QB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Quarterback Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jaxson Dart

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Jaxson Dart 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$11

Identifier

KXRANKLISTFFQB-27-JDART6

Jul 11, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 11, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

Ask

13¢

Spread

13¢

Reported volume

$889

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top QB

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Family volume

$11

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 13¢

Kalshi
13¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
13¢289
23¢269
24¢231
25¢671
48¢634

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jaxson Dart is the #1 scoring QB on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Quarterback Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Feb 1, 2027

Identifier

KXRANKLISTFFQB-27-JDART6

SF Signal
SF Index
281.72
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

563.4%

IY (No)

56.2%

Adj IY

282%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

563.4%
56.2%
Adj IY
282%
3
Overround
-0.1%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.