Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona
Rodney Glassman is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona.
Price history
32¢ current
−4¢Contract brief
If Rodney Glassman wins the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2026 Attorney General election in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rodney Glassman
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Warren Petersen 68¢
Range
29¢-68¢
Family volume
$321
Identifier
KXAGNOMAZR-26-RGLA
Jun 24, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
29¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$22
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona
Closes
Aug 4, 2027
Family volume
$321
Orderbook snapshot
29 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rodney Glassman wins the Republican Party nomination to contest the 2026 Attorney General election in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 4, 2027
Identifier
KXAGNOMAZR-26-RGLA
Event family
Who will be the Republican nominee for Attorney General in Arizona.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$321
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Warren Petersen 68¢
Current share
7%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.