Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026
Lee Greenwood is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026.
Price history
27¢ current
−23¢Contract brief
If Lee Greenwood is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lee Greenwood
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
Lee Greenwood 27¢
Range
6¢-27¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXUSMDLFRDM-27-LGRE
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
27¢
Ask
28¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
27 / 28¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lee Greenwood is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXUSMDLFRDM-27-LGRE
Event family
Who will earn the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Lee Greenwood 27¢
Current share
—
Lee Greenwood
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-LGRE
Dana White
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-DWHI
Reid Wiseman
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-RWIS
Sean Hannity
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-SHAN
Sylvester Stallone
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-SSTA
Kid Rock
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-KROC
Dan Scavino
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-DSCA
Bill Belichick
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-BBEL
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXUSMDLFRDM-27-EMUS
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.