Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show
Lil Baby is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show.
Price history
12¢ current
−5¢Contract brief
If Lil Baby performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Lil Baby
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Justin Bieber 4¢
Range
1¢-4¢
Family volume
$425
Identifier
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-BAB
May 26, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$12
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$425
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Lil Baby performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-BAB
Event family
Who will perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup final halftime show.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$425
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Justin Bieber 4¢
Current share
0%
Justin Bieber
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-JUS
Swae Lee
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-SWA
Kid Cudi
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-KIDC
Future
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-FUT
Tyla
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-TYLA
Travis Scott
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-TRA
Kali Uchis
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-KAL
Shaboozey
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-SHA
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-ARI
BLACKPINK
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-BLA
KATSEYE
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-KATS
JAY-Z
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-JAY
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-ALE
Justin Timberlake
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-TIM
Young Thug
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-THU
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXWORLDCUPHALFTIME-26-BAB
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.