Chappell Roan · KXPERFORMVS-26
Chappell Roan is priced at 44¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 1¢ bid, 86¢ ask, 85¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 16 inside KXPERFORMVS-26.
Price history
44¢ current
+37¢Contract brief
If Chappell Roan performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Chappell Roan
Rank
#7 of 16
Leader
Tate McRae 75¢
Range
1¢-75¢
Family volume
$991
Identifier
KXPERFORMVS-26-CHAP
Sep 25, 2026, 2:43 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
85¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#7 of 16
16 outcomes · KXPERFORMVS-26
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$991
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 86¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Chappell Roan performs (or it is announced that they will perform at) at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXPERFORMVS-26-CHAP
Event family
KXPERFORMVS-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$991
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Tate McRae 75¢
Current share
0%
Tate McRae
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-TAT
KATSEYE
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-KATS
Megan Moroney
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-MEGA
Megan Thee Stallion
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-MEG
Addison Rae
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ADD
Sabrina Carpenter
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-SAB
Doechii
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-DOE
Chappell Roan
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-CHAP
21 Savage
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-21S
2 Chainz
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-2CH
AC/DC
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ACD
Adele
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ADE
Alex Warren
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ALE
Anuel AA
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ANU
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-ARI
Lil Baby
kalshi · KXPERFORMVS-26-BAB
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.