Who will Time name as Person of the Decade
Sam Altman is priced at 8¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 6 inside Who will Time name as Person of the Decade.
Price history
8¢ current
Contract brief
If Sam Altman is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sam Altman
Rank
#4 of 6
Leader
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 35¢
Range
5¢-35¢
Family volume
$5
Identifier
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-SALT
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
8¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$5
Family rank
#4 of 6
6 outcomes · Who will Time name as Person of the Decade
Closes
Jan 31, 2030
Family volume
$5
Orderbook snapshot
8 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sam Altman is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 31, 2030
Identifier
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-SALT
Event family
Who will Time name as Person of the Decade.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 35¢
Current share
100%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-VZEL
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS
Taylor Swift
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-TAY
Sam Altman
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-SALT
Xi Jinping
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-XJIN
Jensen Huang
kalshi · KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-JHUA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.