SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Who will win Heisman Trophy?

This contract is priced at 12¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 12¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

12¢
$141K volume
$93K liquidity
999% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$14K

Best sibling

Keelon Russell 2¢

Ticker

KXHEISMAN-27-AMANN

Market snapshot

Arch Manning in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Who will win Heisman Trophy?. The displayed quote is 12¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2K. In the Who will win Heisman Trophy family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Arch Manning

Family rank

#1 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

12¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

24h volume

$2K

Family context

16 outcomes · Who will win Heisman Trophy

Quote range

1¢-11¢

Family leader

Arch Manning 11¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXHEISMAN-27-AMANN. Family volume: $14K.

Price history

12¢ current

+4¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 8, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 12¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
11¢41
10¢4.1K
9¢1.1K
8¢2.0K
7¢1.7K
AskSize
12¢7.4K
13¢15K
14¢3.6K
15¢4.5K
16¢5.4K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Arch Manning wins the College Football Heisman Trophy in the 2026-2027 college football season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXHEISMAN-27-AMANN

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1244.2%

IY (No)

19.0%

Adj IY

566%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.3%

LAS

0.09

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

1244.2%
19.0%
Adj IY
566%
8
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
0.09

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