Christopher Taylor in the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary
Christopher Taylor is priced at 75¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 69¢ bid, 75¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Who will win the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary.
Price history
75¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Christopher Taylor wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Christopher Taylor
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Christopher Taylor 69¢
Range
25¢-69¢
Family volume
$337
Identifier
KXANNARBORMAYORD-26-CTAY
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
69¢
Ask
75¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$337
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Who will win the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary
Closes
Aug 4, 2027
Family volume
$337
Orderbook snapshot
69 / 75¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Christopher Taylor wins the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 4, 2027
Identifier
KXANNARBORMAYORD-26-CTAY
Event family
Who will win the 2026 Ann Arbor Democratic mayoral primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$337
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Christopher Taylor 69¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.