Ralph Norman in the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary
Ralph Norman is priced at 32¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 79¢ ask, 47¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 6 inside Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary.
Price history
32¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If Ralph Norman wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ralph Norman
Rank
#2 of 6
Leader
Pamela Evette 43¢
Range
1¢-43¢
Family volume
$34K
Identifier
KXSCRSENS-26-RNOR
Jul 13, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
47¢
24h volume
$30
Family rank
#2 of 6
6 outcomes · Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Family volume
$34K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 79¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ralph Norman wins the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 11, 2027
Identifier
KXSCRSENS-26-RNOR
Event family
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$34K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Pamela Evette 43¢
Current share
0%
Pamela Evette
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-PEVE
Ralph Norman
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-RNOR
Russell Fry
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-RFRY
Mark Lynch
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-MLYN
Nancy Mace
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-NMAC
Nikki Haley
kalshi · KXSCRSENS-26-NHAL
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.