Loranne Ausley in the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election
Loranne Ausley is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 5 inside Who will win the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election.
Price history
36¢ current
+33¢Contract brief
If Loranne Ausley wins the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Loranne Ausley
Rank
#1 of 5
Leader
Loranne Ausley 35¢
Range
1¢-35¢
Family volume
$93
Identifier
KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-LAUS
Jul 10, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 4m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
41¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$118
Family rank
#1 of 5
5 outcomes · Who will win the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Family volume
$93
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 41¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Loranne Ausley wins the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2027
Identifier
KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-LAUS
Event family
Who will win the 2026 Tallahassee, Florida mayoral election.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$93
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Loranne Ausley 35¢
Current share
0%
Loranne Ausley
kalshi · KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-LAUS
Jeremy Matlow
kalshi · KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-JMAT
Daryl Parks
kalshi · KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-DPAR
Michael Foust
kalshi · KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-MFOU
Al Lawson
kalshi · KXTALLAHASSEEMAYOR-26-ALAW
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.