Before Jul 16, 2026 · Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?: Before
Before Jul 16, 2026 is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 5 inside Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?: Before.
Price history
95¢ current
Contract brief
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jul 16, 2026
Rank
#3 of 5
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 93¢
Range
52¢-93¢
Family volume
$95K
Identifier
KXHFHOUSING-27-26JUL16
Jun 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
96¢
Spread
7¢
24h volume
$757
Family rank
#3 of 5
5 outcomes · Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?: Before
Closes
Jul 16, 2026
Family volume
$95K
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 96¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a bill becomes law that imposes an excise tax on investment firm ownership of single-family homes (including if the tax is only imposed on newly bought homes) or bans investment firms from owning single-family homes outright (or which bans buying new homes) before Jul 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 16, 2026
Identifier
KXHFHOUSING-27-26JUL16
Event family
Will a bill become law taxing or banning hedge funds from owning homes before election day?: Before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$95K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 93¢
Current share
1%
Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXHFHOUSING-27
Before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi · KXHFHOUSING-27-AUG26
Before Jul 16, 2026
kalshi · KXHFHOUSING-27-26JUL16
Before Jul 7, 2026
kalshi · KXHFHOUSING-27-26JUL07
Before Jul 1, 2026
kalshi · KXHFHOUSING-27-JUL26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 95% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.