Before Jan 1, 2027 · Will a budget resolution passed the House before
Before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 37¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Will a budget resolution passed the House before.
Price history
35¢ current
+30¢Contract brief
If a budget resolution has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Before Jan 1, 2027 32¢
Range
7¢-32¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXHBUDGETRES-26JUN-27JAN01
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
37¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$610
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Will a budget resolution passed the House before
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 37¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a budget resolution has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXHBUDGETRES-26JUN-27JAN01
Event family
Will a budget resolution passed the House before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Before Jan 1, 2027 32¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 35% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.