Will a budget resolution passed the House before Jan 1, 2027
Will a budget resolution passed the House before Jan 1, 2027 is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
99¢ current
+65¢Contract brief
If a budget resolution has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will a budget resolution passed the House before Jan 1, 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXHBUDGETRES-26JUN-27JAN01
Aug 8, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
100¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jul 22, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a budget resolution has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 22, 2026
Identifier
KXHBUDGETRES-26JUN-27JAN01
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will a budget resolution passed the House before Jan 1, 2027 99¢
Current share
100%
Will a budget resolution passed the House before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · KXHBUDGETRES-26JUN-27JAN01
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 99% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.