A Dead White
A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26.
Price history
7¢ current
Contract brief
If 'A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America 18¢
Range
1¢-18¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DEADWH
Sep 23, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If 'A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DEADWH
Event family
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America 18¢
Current share
10%
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-SEASON
The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-WARWIT
Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-HUNAAM
Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DANGER
Mother Tongue
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-MOTHER
The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-EVOLUT
A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DEADWH
The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-MIDNIG
Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-LETTHE
Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-SPAWNI
Tie
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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