Huna
Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26.
Price history
17¢ current
Contract brief
If 'Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America 18¢
Range
1¢-18¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-HUNAAM
Sep 23, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If 'Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming' wins the award for Nonfiction at the 77th National Book Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 18, 2027
Identifier
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-HUNAAM
Event family
KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America 18¢
Current share
10%
Seasons of Fury: Four Families and the Rise of Islamophobia in America
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-SEASON
The War Within a War: The Black Struggle in Vietnam and at Home
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-WARWIT
Huna: A Memoir of Revolution, Prison, and Becoming
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-HUNAAM
Dangerous, Dirty, Violent, and Young: A Fugitive Family in the Revolutionary Underground
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DANGER
Mother Tongue
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-MOTHER
The Evolution of Fire: Essays on Crisis and Becoming
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-EVOLUT
A Dead White: An Argument Against White Paint
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-DEADWH
The Midnight Special: The Secret Prison History of American Music
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-MIDNIG
Let the Poets Govern: A Declaration of Freedom
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-LETTHE
Spawning Season: An Experiment in Queer Parenthood
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-SPAWNI
Tie
kalshi · KXNATBOOKAWARDS-NONF26-TIE
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.