Group C · Will a team from Group
Group C is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside Will a team from Group.
Price history
7¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
If a team from Group C wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Group C
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Group I 16¢
Range
1¢-16¢
Family volume
$39K
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-C
Jun 25, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · Will a team from Group
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$39K
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If a team from Group C wins the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-C
Event family
Will a team from Group.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$39K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Group I 16¢
Current share
10%
Group I
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-I
Group J
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-J
Group E
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-E
Group K
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-K
Group C
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-C
Group L
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-L
Group H
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-H
Group D
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-D
Group A
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-A
Group F
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-F
Group B
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-B
Group G
kalshi · KXWCGROUPWINNER-26-G
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.