Aaron Ashby · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL
Aaron Ashby is priced at 6¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 5 inside KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL.
Price history
6¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Aaron Ashby is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aaron Ashby
Rank
#5 of 5
Leader
Jacob Misiorowski 63¢
Range
6¢-63¢
Family volume
$3K
Identifier
KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-AASHBY26
Jun 27, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
24¢
24h volume
$82
Family rank
#5 of 5
5 outcomes · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Family volume
$3K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Aaron Ashby is the Pitcher of the Month on the Pro Baseball National League Pitcher of the Month for June, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 4, 2026
Identifier
KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-AASHBY26
Event family
KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$3K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Jacob Misiorowski 63¢
Current share
3%
Jacob Misiorowski
kalshi · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-JMISIOROWSKI32
Cristopher Sanchez
kalshi · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-CSANCHEZ61
Shohei Ohtani
kalshi · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-SOHTANI17
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
kalshi · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-YYAMAMOTO18
Aaron Ashby
kalshi · KXMLBPITCHEROTM-26JUNNL-AASHBY26
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.