Out before Mar 24, 2027 · Will Aaron Boone be out before
Out before Mar 24, 2027 is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Will Aaron Boone be out before.
Price history
25¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Mar 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Out before Mar 24, 2027
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Out before Nov 15, 2026 28¢
Range
2¢-28¢
Family volume
$10
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTMLBDATE-27NYY-27MAR24
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
29¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$596
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Will Aaron Boone be out before
Closes
Mar 24, 2027
Family volume
$10
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 29¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the Manager of the New York Yankees Pro Baseball team leaves, or announces they will leave, before Mar 24, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Mar 24, 2027
Identifier
KXCOACHOUTMLBDATE-27NYY-27MAR24
Event family
Will Aaron Boone be out before.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$10
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Out before Nov 15, 2026 28¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.