Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev is priced at 81¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 80¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL.
Price history
81¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins the Yakhyaev vs Walker professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 80¢
Range
20¢-80¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL-YAK
Jun 23, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
80¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
80 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev wins the Yakhyaev vs Walker professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL-YAK
Event family
KXUFCFIGHT-26JUN27YAKWAL.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev 80¢
Current share
19%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.