SimpleFunctions

Abdulelah Al-Amri · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA

Abdulelah Al-Amri is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 53¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 45¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA.

Price history

90¢ current

+21¢
50¢75¢100¢
Jun 21, 2026Jun 27, 2026

Contract brief

If Abdulelah Al-Amri scores the most goals for Saudi Arabia during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Abdulelah Al-Amri

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Abdulelah Al-Amri 51¢

Range

27¢-51¢

Family volume

$732

Identifier

KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA-AALAM5

Jun 27, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

90¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 27, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

53¢

Ask

98¢

Spread

45¢

24h volume

$732

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Family volume

$732

Orderbook snapshot

53 / 98¢

Kalshi
45¢ spread
BidSize
100¢1.6K
53¢2
52¢5
50¢50
AskSize
98¢5
99¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Abdulelah Al-Amri scores the most goals for Saudi Arabia during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 27, 2026

Identifier

KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA-AALAM5

SF Signal
SF Index
643.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWCTEAMLEADGOAL-26KSA.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$732

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Abdulelah Al-Amri 51¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1187.3%
1286.2%
Adj IY
643%
1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.