Aday Mara · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5
Aday Mara is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 13 inside KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5.
Price history
16¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Aday Mara is selected as the 5th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Aday Mara
Rank
#5 of 13
Leader
Keaton Wagler 30¢
Range
1¢-30¢
Family volume
$617
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-AMAR
May 26, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
5¢
Reported volume
$2K
Family rank
#5 of 13
13 outcomes · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Family volume
$617
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Aday Mara is selected as the 5th overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 2, 2026
Identifier
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-AMAR
Event family
KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$617
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Keaton Wagler 30¢
Current share
0%
Keaton Wagler
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-KWAG
Darius Acuff Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-DACU
Caleb Wilson
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-CWIL
Mikel Brown Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-MBRO
Aday Mara
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-AMAR
Kingston Flemings
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-KFLE
Chris Cenac Jr.
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-CCEN
Brayden Burries
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-BBUR
Cameron Boozer
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-CBOO
Cameron Carr
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-CCAR
Yaxel Lendeborg
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-YLEN
Karim Lopez
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-KLOP
Nate Ament
kalshi · KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-5-NAME
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.