Addison Rae · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Addison Rae is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 9¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KX1SONG-DEC2626.
Price history
3¢ current
Contract brief
If Addison Rae has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Addison Rae
Rank
#11 of 16
Leader
Drake 97¢
Range
1¢-97¢
Family volume
$918
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ADD
May 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$330
Family rank
#11 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$918
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 9¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Addison Rae has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-ADD
Event family
KX1SONG-DEC2626.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$918
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Drake 97¢
Current share
0%
Drake
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-DRA
Ariana Grande
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ARI
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEY
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-POS
Kendrick Lamar
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-KEN
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-WEE
SZA
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-SZA
Doja Cat
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-DOJ
Alex Warren
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ALE
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ADD
21 Savage
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-21S
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BAB
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEB
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-2CH
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ANU
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.