Grimes · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Grimes is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside KX1SONG-DEC2626.
Price history
5¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Grimes has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Grimes
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Mariah Carey 89¢
Range
2¢-89¢
Family volume
$578
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRIM
Jul 14, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
7¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$83
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · KX1SONG-DEC2626
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Family volume
$578
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 7¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Grimes has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 21, 2026
Identifier
KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRIM
Event family
KX1SONG-DEC2626.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$578
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mariah Carey 89¢
Current share
0%
Mariah Carey
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-MAR
Post Malone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-POS
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEY
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIL
Alex Warren
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ALE
SIENNA SPIRO
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-SIE
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEN
21 Savage
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-21S
BLACKPINK
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BLA
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BEB
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ADD
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BAB
Grimes
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-GRIM
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-2CH
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-ANU
Big Sean
kalshi · KX1SONG-DEC2626-BIG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.